Title:Optimization of Site-exploration Programs in Slope Designs Using 3D
Conditional Random Fields
Volume: 2
Issue: 6
Author(s): Jia-Yi Ou-Yang, Yong Liu and Guan Chen*
Affiliation:
- State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Institute of Engineering Risk and Disaster
Prevention, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, P.R. China
Keywords:
Site investigation optimization, risk analysis, conditional random field, kriging, spatial variability, finite element analysis.
Abstract:
Background: In situ soil properties exhibit inherent spatial variability, which is often
described by a 3D random field. Soil properties at particular portions are available by site investigation.
Wider site investigation scope provides a more accurate description of the geologic profile.
However, limited by budget, choosing an effective site exploration scope is of significance.
Objective: This study introduces a framework to determine the optimal site investigation strategy in
the 3D domain, which yields the lowest mean risk of slope designs.
Methods: The mean risk of slope designs is considered to be a function of the costs of site investigation,
under-design, and over-design. The unconditional random fields are generated by the spectral
representation method initially. Subsequently, the sampled data are incorporated into the random
fields via the Kriging algorithm, and the conditional random fields are simulated. A 3D undrained
slope is evaluated for illustration.
Results: The effects of sampling locations and spacing on the risk of slope designs are examined.
The results indicate that the optimal sampling location is close to the zone where slope failure may
occur. Moreover, there exists an optimal sampling spacing that minimizes the mean risk of slope
designs.
Conclusion: This investigation can provide guidance for determining the optimal site exploration
programs on the 3D domain with knowledge of the associated risks.