The validity of the lipid hypothesis has been debated recently in both, the
media and the medical press. In this chapter we review the relevant evidence to
evaluate whether it is still applicable in cardiovascular prevention. After a brief
description of developments leading to the lipid hypothesis we consider prospective
epidemiological studies, paying particular attention to the Framingham Heart Study as
it was conceived at a time when lipid lowering therapy was unavailable. We also
present the predictive factors of the other commonly used cardiovascular risk scoring
models. All the algorithms show cholesterol (total or low density lipoprotein –
cholesterol) and high density lipoproteins to predict cardiovascular disease. Our own
data from the Whickham Study where subjects were recruited in the pre-statin era also
show total cholesterol to be significantly associated with coronary heart disease. We
then discuss intervention randomised controlled studies using agents that lower low
density lipoprotein – cholesterol (resins, statins, ezetimibe and Proprotein convertase
subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors) paying particular attention to studies not
demonstrating reduction in cardiovascular outcomes. Apart from patients with heart
failure and possibly on dialysis the lipid hypothesis appears to be true. This is
reinforced by a meta-analysis carried out by the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists’
Collaboration. We do not feel that outcomes from cohort studies consisting of patients
subject to multiple guideline driven treatments can be used as good quality evidence
against the lipid hypothesis. We do acknowledge that more research is required regarding heterogeneity and describe a non-invasive way in which atherogenesis of the
individual may be measured. We would like future randomised controlled trials to
incorporate study of disease mechanism(s) within the study design.
Keywords: Cardiovascular disease, Cardiovascular disease prediction, Coronary
heart disease, Ezetimibe, Framingham Heart Study, Lipid hypothesis, LDLcholesterol,
Peak systolic velocity, Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9
inhibitors, Randomised Controlled Trials, Statins, Total cholesterol, Whickham
study.